The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 13 fixture revealed, according to statistics

The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 13 fixture revealed, according to statistics
Another weekend of Premier League action is done and dusted and entered into the record books.There were some brilliant matches and some brilliant moments with Tottenham winning 3-1 against rivals Chelsea and Bournemouth aceJefferson Lerma netting a classic own goal against Arsenal.Heung-Min Son celebrates his goal against Chelsea10
Heung-Min Son celebrates his goal against Chelsea
But do the results we got reflect what actually happened in the matches we witnessed?Find out below how every team performed compared to their expected goals in the 13th round ofPremier Leaguematches thanks to statistics from Understat.com…

What is expected goals?

  • Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
  • Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
  • The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
  • The xG valueof every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.
 Should a team end with a higher xG than actual goals scored, it is probable they were wasteful in front of goal due to poor finishing or an in-form opposition goalkeeper. If the real goals scored is higher than the xG, the team may have been lucky to score so many in that match, or have an above average finisher scoring hard chances others would miss.

West Ham United vs Manchester City

Real result: 0-4xG result: 0.84-2.76Leroy Sane’s composed finish had the game all wrapped up before half-time10
Leroy Sane’s composed finish had the game all wrapped up before half-time

Watford vs Liverpool

Real result: 0-3xG result: 0.85-1.45Jordan Henderson was sent off on his return to the Liverpool team10
Jordan Henderson was sent off on his return to the Liverpool team

Manchester United vs Crystal Palace

Real result: 0-0xG result: 1.34-1.28Manchester United stars Anthony Martial, Alexis Sanchez, and Marouane Fellaini look dejected10
Manchester United stars Anthony Martial, Alexis Sanchez, and Marouane Fellaini look dejected

Fulham vs Southampton

Real result: 3-2xG result: 1.38-1.63Aleksandar Mitrovic celebrates one of his goals10
Aleksandar Mitrovic celebrates one of his goals

Everton vs Cardiff City

Real result: 1-0xG result: 2.36-0.93Gylfi Sigurdsson got Everton’s winner10
Gylfi Sigurdsson got Everton’s winner

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Leicester City

Real result: 1-1xG result: 0.84-1.12Jamie Vardy rescued a point for Leicester10
Jamie Vardy rescued a point for Leicester

Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea

Real result: 3-1xG result: 3.37-0.93Dele Alli helped keep Jorginho quiet in Spurs’ 3-1 win10
Dele Alli helped keep Jorginho quiet in Spurs’ 3-1 win

Bournemouth vs Arsenal

Real result: 1-2xG result: 0.65-1.68Aubameyang was Arsenal’s match winner10
Aubameyang was Arsenal’s match winner

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Huddersfield Town

Real result: 0-2xG result: 0.69-0.63Mooy is now Huddersfield’s top scorer this season with two goals10
Mooy is now Huddersfield’s top scorer this season with two goals



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